The upcoming Makerfield parliamentary by-election on June 18 is shaping up to be a pivotal event, with Restore Britain, led by Rupert Lowe, complicating the landscape for Reform UK. Lowe, a former Reform UK MP, has been criticized for splitting the right-wing vote, which could hinder Reform UK's candidate, Robert Kenyon, who is currently polling at 39%. Meanwhile, Labour's Andy Burnham leads with 49%, while Restore's candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, has garnered only 8%. The by-election was triggered by Labour MP Josh Simons' resignation, allowing Burnham to run and potentially challenge Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer for the Labour leadership if successful. Kenyon has framed the election as a chance to deliver a setback to Labour, stating that even in defeat, he could still inflict damage on the party. However, analysts suggest that Lowe's growing appeal among disillusioned voters could undermine Reform UK's aspirations, paving the way for Burnham's return to Westminster and a potential leadership bid.