Indian Rupee Hits Record Low Amid Rising Oil Prices and Foreign Selling
Rupee hits record closing low of 94.85 vs USD hurt by surging oil, persistent outflows
The Economic TimesImage: The Economic Times
The Indian rupee dropped to a record closing low of 94.85 against the US dollar, influenced by surging oil prices and ongoing foreign asset sell-offs. Analysts predict continued pressure on the currency unless oil prices stabilize, with potential intervention from the Reserve Bank of India if the rupee falls further.
- 01The Indian rupee closed at 94.8450 per dollar, a record low.
- 02Rising Brent crude oil prices, now nearly $115 per barrel, are impacting the rupee.
- 03Persistent foreign selling of Indian assets is adding pressure on the currency.
- 04Analysts expect the rupee to remain under strain as long as oil prices stay elevated.
- 05The Reserve Bank of India may intervene if the rupee falls below 95.
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On Wednesday, the Indian rupee fell to a record closing low of 94.8450 against the US dollar, marking a 0.3% decline for the day. This drop is largely attributed to rising oil prices, with Brent crude surging over 3% to nearly $115 per barrel, which is affecting other oil-sensitive currencies in Asia as well. The ongoing foreign selling of Indian assets has compounded the rupee's struggles, as central banks' supportive measures lose effectiveness. Traders noted that dollar sales by state-run banks, likely on behalf of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), helped limit the rupee's losses. Analysts predict that the rupee will continue to face pressure unless oil prices stabilize, and a fall below 95 could prompt stronger intervention from the RBI, which had previously stepped in with dollar sales and regulatory measures. Global markets are also closely watching the U.S. Federal Reserve's upcoming policy decision, with expectations of stable benchmark rates but heightened scrutiny on the economic impact of the Iran conflict.
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The depreciation of the rupee could increase import costs, particularly for oil, leading to higher prices for consumers and businesses reliant on energy.
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