Increased Gold Import Duty Expected to Boost Old Gold Sales in India
Duty hike may bring out more old gold into market
The Economic TimesImage: The Economic Times
India's recent hike in gold import duties is projected to decrease demand for gold by 10-15% and encourage households to sell old gold, potentially easing the country's current account deficit. With an estimated 25,000 tonnes of idle gold in households, this shift could significantly impact the market.
- 01Gold import duty hike expected to reduce demand by 10-15%.
- 02Around 25,000 tonnes of idle gold in Indian households may enter the market.
- 03Smuggling of gold likely to increase as a result of higher prices.
- 04Lower carat jewellery sales could reduce imports by 20-30%.
- 05Old gold exchanges now account for nearly 50% of sales for major retailers.
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The recent increase in gold import duties in India is anticipated to decrease demand for gold by 10-15%. This change is expected to push households to sell their old gold, which could help alleviate the country's current account deficit. An estimated 25,000 tonnes of gold is currently idle in Indian households. B Govindan, chairman of Bhima Jewellers, noted that high prices will lead to reduced volume sales, while Surendra Mehta, chairman of the India Bullion & Jewellers Association, warned of a potential rise in gold smuggling. He highlighted that during previous high-duty periods, 100-120 tonnes of gold entered India through illegal channels. Industry experts suggest that promoting lower carat jewellery and discouraging investments in gold bars could further decrease imports by 20-30%. Notably, nearly 50% of sales for major jewellery retailers now come from old gold exchanges, indicating a significant market shift.
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The duty hike may lead to more households selling old gold, providing cash flow to families while addressing the current account deficit. This could also impact local jewellers and the gold market significantly.
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