India Forecasts Above-Normal Rainfall and Mixed Temperature Patterns for May 2026
India likely to see above-normal rainfall in May, mixed heat trends as El Nino signal strengthens: IMD
The Economic Times
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The India Meteorological Department (IMD) predicts above-normal rainfall in May 2026, exceeding 110% of the long period average. While many regions will experience normal to below-normal maximum temperatures, southern and some northeastern areas may see higher daytime temperatures. The evolving El Nino conditions could impact rainfall distribution and crop yields.
- 01IMD forecasts above-normal rainfall for May 2026, over 110% of the long period average.
- 02Daytime temperatures will be normal to below normal in most regions, but higher in southern and some northeastern areas.
- 03Increased heatwave days are expected in specific regions despite a moderated overall temperature outlook.
- 04El Nino conditions are developing, which could influence rainfall and temperature patterns.
- 05Excess rainfall may disrupt harvesting and increase crop damage risks.
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The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has released its monthly outlook for May 2026, forecasting above-normal rainfall across the country, likely exceeding 110% of the long period average (LPA). While maximum temperatures are expected to remain normal to below normal in many areas, southern peninsular India, parts of the northeast, and northwest India may experience higher daytime temperatures. Night temperatures are anticipated to be warmer than usual in most regions. The IMD has warned of an increase in heatwave days, particularly in the foothills of the Himalayas and parts of Gujarat and Maharashtra. The evolving climate conditions include a transition towards El Nino, which may influence rainfall distribution during the southwest monsoon season. The outlook suggests that while the anticipated rainfall could enhance soil moisture and benefit late rabi crop harvesting, excessive rain may pose risks such as waterlogging and fungal infections, potentially affecting crop yields.
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The forecasted rainfall is expected to improve soil moisture, benefiting agricultural preparations for the kharif season. However, excessive rain may disrupt harvesting operations and increase the risk of crop damage.
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