Retail Lending Drives Bank Credit Growth in India
Retail lending emerges as key driver of bank credit growth
Mint
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India's banking sector is projected to achieve credit growth of 11-13% in the first half of 2026, primarily driven by retail lending. The FICCI-IBA Bankers’ Survey indicates that over 52% of banks expect retail loan growth to exceed 13%, reflecting strong demand across various sectors.
- 01Retail lending is the main driver of projected credit growth.
- 0246% of banks expect non-food credit growth in the 11-13% range.
- 03Demand from small and medium enterprises (SMEs) is robust.
- 04Credit demand in services and retail sectors is expected to remain strong.
- 05Cybersecurity is the biggest concern for bankers.
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India's banking sector is set to experience credit growth of 11-13% in the first half of 2026, with retail lending emerging as a significant contributor. According to the FICCI-IBA Bankers’ Survey, 52% of banks anticipate retail loan growth exceeding 13%, while only 8% expect growth below 9%. The survey, which included responses from 24 various banks, highlights a positive outlook on credit demand, bolstered by improved asset quality and resilient economic activity. Small and medium enterprises (SMEs) are also expected to see strong double-digit growth in credit demand, reflecting a recovery in business activity. Lending to services, particularly in real estate, logistics, and tourism, is expected to remain robust, while industrial credit growth is projected at a more moderate 9-13%. Despite the optimistic outlook, cybersecurity remains a major concern for bankers, with 71% citing it as their top risk. The survey indicates a status quo in policy rates over the next six months, suggesting that lenders are content with the current monetary stance.
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The anticipated credit growth will likely facilitate increased lending to consumers and businesses, potentially leading to more accessible loans for homebuyers and entrepreneurs.
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