India's Banking Sector Projects 11-13% Credit Growth Amidst Global Uncertainties
India's banking sector resilient; 11-13% credit growth for January-June likely: Survey
The Economic TimesImage: The Economic Times
India's banking sector is expected to experience a non-food credit growth of 11-13% from January to June 2026, according to the FICCI-IBA Bankers' Survey. This optimism is driven by improving balance sheets, steady economic activity, and robust demand in retail and SME segments, despite a cautious industrial credit outlook.
- 01Non-food credit growth projected at 11-13% for January-June 2026.
- 02Retail and SME sectors are key drivers of credit demand.
- 03Public sector banks show strong confidence due to improved asset quality.
- 04Infrastructure, real estate, and pharmaceuticals are leading sectors for term loan demand.
- 05Artificial Intelligence and cybersecurity are seen as major trends and challenges in banking.
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According to the FICCI-IBA Bankers' Survey, India's banking sector is poised for a 11-13% non-food credit growth during the first half of 2026, reflecting resilience amid geopolitical uncertainties. The survey, which involved 24 lenders including public and private banks, indicates that improving balance sheets and steady economic activity support this positive outlook. Retail and SME credit are expected to drive growth, with robust demand noted in sectors such as infrastructure, real estate, and pharmaceuticals. While industrial credit growth is anticipated to be more gradual, the overall sentiment remains optimistic, particularly among public sector banks, which are benefiting from enhanced asset quality and capital positions. The survey also highlights the growing importance of sustainable finance, especially in renewable energy, and identifies Artificial Intelligence as a transformative force in banking operations, alongside cybersecurity as a pressing challenge. The survey reflects a consensus among 46% of respondents expecting credit growth in the 11-13% range, with only 8% predicting growth below 9%.
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The anticipated credit growth could lead to increased lending for homebuyers, businesses, and infrastructure projects, stimulating economic activity.
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