Only One Pollster Accurately Predicted Tamil Nadu Election Results
In Vijay's 'Vijay', Only One Pollster Got Tamil Nadu Election Results Right
News 18
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In the Tamil Nadu elections held in 2026, Axis My India, led by Pradeep Gupta, was the only pollster to accurately predict a significant surge for Thalapathy Vijay's Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK), forecasting it would become the largest party. While TVK is projected to surpass 100 seats, the competition for the second position remains tight between the DMK and AIADMK alliances.
- 01Axis My India was the only pollster to predict a surge for Vijay's party, TVK.
- 02TVK is projected to win between 98-120 seats in the 234-member Tamil Nadu Assembly.
- 03The DMK-led alliance was expected to finish second, but actual results show a closer race.
- 04The AIADMK is projected to win fewer than 35 seats, contrary to earlier predictions.
- 05Counting trends indicate a competitive battle between the INDIA and NDA coalitions for the runner-up position.
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In the Tamil Nadu elections of 2026, most exit polls favored the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) alliance, while some supported the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (AIADMK). However, Axis My India, led by Pradeep Gupta, predicted an unexpected rise for Thalapathy Vijay's Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK), estimating it would secure 98-120 seats. As counting progresses, TVK appears poised to cross the 100-seat mark in the 234-member Assembly, validating Axis My India's forecast. Despite this success, not all of Gupta's predictions have materialized; the DMK alliance is now projected to finish with around 60-65 seats, making the competition for second place much tighter than anticipated. Meanwhile, the AIADMK's performance is expected to be significantly lower than earlier forecasts, with projections of fewer than 35 seats.
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The results of the Tamil Nadu elections could significantly influence local governance and policy direction in the state.
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