Indian Rupee Hits Record Low Amid Rising Oil Prices
Rupee's slide to record low puts RBI back on the defensive
The Economic TimesImage: The Economic Times
The Indian rupee fell to a record low of 95.3250 against the dollar, driven by surging crude oil prices, which reached $126 per barrel. This decline raises concerns about inflation and economic growth, prompting speculation about potential interventions by the Reserve Bank of India.
- 01Rupee dropped to a record low of 95.3250 against the dollar.
- 02Brent crude oil prices surged to $126 per barrel, impacting the currency.
- 03The rupee has declined nearly 6% in 2026, compounding last year's losses.
- 04Foreign investors have withdrawn over $20 billion from Indian markets in recent months.
- 05Economic growth projections may fall to 6.3% if oil prices average $80 per barrel.
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The Indian rupee has fallen to a record low of 95.3250 against the US dollar, a decline of 0.5% on Thursday. This drop is largely attributed to rising crude oil prices, which have surged to $126 per barrel, the highest in four years. The rupee's depreciation has erased gains from recent currency-supportive measures by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), leading to speculation about further interventions. The currency has now declined nearly 6% in 2026, adding to a similar drop from the previous year, amid ongoing economic pressures including trade tensions with the U.S. and significant energy supply disruptions. Analysts warn that the persistent weakness of the rupee could deter foreign investment and exacerbate inflation by increasing import costs. In March and April alone, foreign investors have offloaded over $20 billion in Indian stocks and bonds, nearly doubling the outflows of $11.8 billion recorded for all of 2025. Economic growth forecasts have also been adjusted, with HSBC projecting a slowdown to 6.3% if oil prices stabilize around $80 per barrel.
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The rupee's decline could lead to higher import prices, increasing inflation for consumers and affecting economic growth. This may result in higher costs for goods and services, impacting daily expenses for ordinary citizens.
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