Early Monsoon Expected in Kerala by May 25 Amid Heatwave Conditions
Early monsoon 2026: Rains likely to hit Kerala by May 25 as heatwave peaks at 44°C | Check IMD forecast
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India is experiencing significant heatwave conditions, with temperatures reaching 44°C in several regions. However, forecasts suggest that the southwest monsoon may arrive in Kerala as early as May 25, influenced by favorable atmospheric conditions and high temperatures inland.
- 01Temperatures have peaked at 44°C in parts of India due to a heatwave.
- 02The southwest monsoon is expected to arrive in Kerala by May 25, earlier than usual.
- 03Favorable atmospheric conditions and high land temperatures are driving the early onset.
- 04The Indian Ocean dipole is in a favorable state for enhanced monsoon activity.
- 05El Niño is expected to remain neutral, which may benefit monsoon patterns this year.
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As India grapples with a severe heatwave, with temperatures soaring to 44°C in various regions, new climate models indicate a potential early onset of the southwest monsoon. Forecasts predict that the monsoon could reach Kerala by May 25, significantly ahead of the typical June 1 arrival. This shift is attributed to favorable atmospheric conditions, including strong westerlies in the southeast Arabian Sea and high temperatures inland, which create a low-pressure area that attracts moisture-laden winds. The Indian Ocean dipole is also in a favorable state, enhancing the likelihood of increased rainfall. Additionally, El Niño is expected to remain neutral this year, which could further support a robust monsoon season. Overall, the combination of these factors suggests a promising start to the monsoon in southern India.
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The early arrival of the monsoon could alleviate the severe heat conditions and provide essential rainfall for crops, positively impacting local farmers and water supply.
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