UN Warns of Impending Strong El Niño Event with Severe Weather Risks
Long-Threatened Powerful El Niño Could Emerge Any Day Now, UN Warns

Image: Gizmodo
The UN's World Meteorological Organization (WMO) warns that a potentially powerful El Niño is imminent, with an 80% chance of emergence by August. This event could lead to extreme weather, including droughts and heavy rainfall, exacerbated by climate change, impacting millions globally.
- 01The WMO reports an 80% chance of El Niño emergence between June and August, with effects lasting until at least November.
- 02Ocean temperatures in the Pacific are significantly higher, exceeding 10.8 degrees Fahrenheit (6 degrees Celsius) above average, creating a 'substantial reservoir of heat.'
- 03Climatologists warn that this El Niño could mirror the devastating effects of the 1877 event, which caused global famine and over 50 million deaths.
- 04The predicted El Niño may lead to increased rainfall in southern South America and the southern United States, while causing droughts in Central America and parts of Asia.
- 05WMO Secretary-General Celeste Saulo emphasizes the need for preparedness against extreme weather events linked to this El Niño.
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The United Nations’ World Meteorological Organization (WMO) has issued a warning regarding the imminent emergence of a potentially powerful El Niño, forecasting an 80% chance of its development between June and August, which may extend into November. This year’s El Niño is characterized by significant increases in sea surface temperatures in the central-eastern Pacific, with some areas exceeding 10.8 degrees Fahrenheit (6 degrees Celsius) above average. Climatologists, including Francisco Aquino from Brazil’s Federal University of Rio Grande do Sul, caution that the risks associated with this El Niño could parallel those of the catastrophic 1877 event, which resulted in widespread droughts and a global famine that claimed over 50 million lives. The WMO anticipates that this El Niño could lead to increased rainfall in southern regions of the Americas and the southern United States, while simultaneously heightening drought risks in Central America and parts of Asia. WMO Secretary-General Celeste Saulo urges preparedness for extreme weather conditions, highlighting that the heat generated by El Niño poses severe risks, including heat-related illnesses and pressure on food and water systems.
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Communities globally may face severe weather conditions, including droughts and floods, affecting agriculture, water supply, and health.
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