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World Meteorological Organization Warns of 80% Chance of El Nino by August, Heightened Extreme Weather Risks
80% chance of El Nino developing between June to August; higher risk of extreme weather
Image: Khaleej Times
The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) forecasts an 80% chance of El Nino developing between June and August, potentially leading to extreme weather events globally. This phenomenon could exacerbate droughts and heavy rainfall, impacting agriculture, water management, and health sectors.
- 01An 80% probability of El Nino conditions developing between June and August, with a near 90% chance by November.
- 02El Nino is expected to contribute to higher global temperatures, with 2024 projected to be the hottest year on record.
- 03The phenomenon is associated with increased risks of drought, heatwaves, and altered rainfall patterns across various regions.
- 04The WMO emphasizes that while climate change does not increase El Nino frequency, it amplifies its impacts.
- 05UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres calls for urgent climate action to mitigate the effects of El Nino.
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The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) has announced an 80% chance of the El Nino phenomenon developing between June and August, significantly raising the risk of extreme weather events worldwide. El Nino, which occurs every two to seven years, is characterized by warmer ocean temperatures in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific, influencing global wind and rainfall patterns. The WMO predicts that by November, the likelihood of El Nino could reach 90%. This event is expected to exacerbate droughts, heavy rainfall, and heatwaves, with severe implications for agriculture, water management, and health sectors. Notably, the last El Nino contributed to making 2023 the second-hottest year recorded. UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres has stressed the urgency of climate action to address the escalating impacts of El Nino, advocating for a transition to renewable energy and enhanced preparedness measures.
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The anticipated El Nino phenomenon could lead to significant weather changes, affecting agriculture, water supply, and health services globally.
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