Jefferies Reaffirms 'Buy' Rating on Paytm Amid Regulatory Changes
Jefferies maintains 'Buy' on Paytm; sees growth intact despite PPBL curbs
Business Standard
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Jefferies has maintained a 'Buy' rating on Paytm (One 97 Communications Ltd), projecting an 18% upside with a price target of ₹1,350. Despite regulatory restrictions on Paytm Payments Bank Ltd, the firm believes Paytm's growth and profitability remain strong, expecting a revenue CAGR of 22% from FY26 to FY28.
- 01Jefferies maintains a 'Buy' rating on Paytm with a price target of ₹1,350.
- 02The firm's report indicates low impact from regulatory changes on Paytm's operations.
- 03Paytm is expected to achieve a revenue CAGR of 22% from FY26 to FY28.
- 04Profit after tax is projected to reach nearly ₹1,700 crore by FY28.
- 05Paytm's business model is set for margin expansion due to scale-driven efficiencies.
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Global brokerage firm Jefferies has reiterated its 'Buy' rating on Paytm (One 97 Communications Ltd), maintaining a price target of ₹1,350, which suggests an 18% upside. The firm believes that despite regulatory actions affecting Paytm Payments Bank Ltd (PPBL), Paytm's growth trajectory and profitability are secure. Jefferies highlighted that Paytm has already implemented significant structural changes in response to the 2024 regulatory restrictions, including shutting down its wallet business linked to PPBL and migrating UPI handles to partner banks. Following these changes, the brokerage noted that the cancellation of PPBL's license will have minimal impact on Paytm's operations, which continue to function normally. Jefferies forecasts a revenue compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 22% from FY26 to FY28, driven by robust growth in financial services distribution, expected to grow at 28%. Additionally, Paytm's profit after tax is projected to reach nearly ₹1,700 crore by FY28, with contribution margins remaining between 55-56% and adjusted EBITDA margins improving to 16%. The firm asserts that Paytm's business model is evolving to leverage scale-driven efficiencies, positioning it well for sustained growth and enhanced profitability in the future.
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The positive outlook from Jefferies suggests that Paytm's continued growth could lead to enhanced services for users and potential job stability within the company as it expands its operations.
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