Analysts Bullish on JSW Steel and Tata Steel Amid Rising Prices
Tata Steel, JSW Steel or Jindal Stainless? Jefferies, Goldman Sachs bullish on these steel stocks
The Economic TimesImage: The Economic Times
International brokerages Jefferies and Goldman Sachs are optimistic about the Indian steel sector, particularly JSW Steel and Tata Steel, due to rising domestic prices and China's declining steel production. Jefferies projects a 30-45% EBITDA growth for these companies in FY27, while Goldman Sachs highlights India's competitive cost advantage in steel production.
- 01Jefferies expects 30-45% YoY EBITDA growth for JSW Steel and Tata Steel in FY27.
- 02Indian steel prices have risen by 20% this year, outpacing China's 10% increase.
- 03Goldman Sachs predicts that domestic steel consumption will grow at a 6.8% CAGR through FY32.
- 04JSW Steel is a top pick for both Jefferies and Goldman Sachs, with a target price of βΉ1,490.
- 05Tata Steel and Jindal Stainless received neutral ratings from Goldman Sachs, indicating mixed prospects.
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International brokerages Jefferies and Goldman Sachs have expressed strong bullish sentiments towards the Indian steel sector, particularly for companies like JSW Steel and Tata Steel. Jefferies noted that India's steel prices have surged by 20% this year, significantly outpacing a 10% increase in China's export prices. This price rise is attributed to a 12% safeguard duty implemented in December 2025 and a reduction in China's steel production and exports, which fell by 9% year-on-year in early 2026. Jefferies anticipates that if Indian steel prices stabilize around βΉ55,500-56,000 in FY27-28, JSW Steel and Tata Steel could see an impressive 30-45% growth in EBITDA. In contrast, Goldman Sachs highlighted India's unique position as the only major country that both produces and consumes iron ore, providing a structural cost advantage. They forecast a 6.8% CAGR in domestic steel consumption through FY32, despite a moderation from previous years' growth rates. Goldman Sachs has a 'Buy' rating on JSW Steel, with a target price of βΉ1,490, reflecting a nearly 19% upside from its recent trading price. Overall, the steel sector in India appears to be on a growth trajectory, driven by favorable market conditions and competitive advantages.
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The bullish outlook on steel stocks may lead to increased investor confidence and potentially higher stock prices, which could benefit shareholders and influence market dynamics.
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