Chinese DRAM Production Boost Could Alleviate Global Shortage by 2028
Ex-Samsung exec says Chinese DRAM could end shortage

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Khe-Hyun Kyung, a senior advisor at Samsung, predicts that increased DRAM production capacity in China could lead to a drop in RAM prices by late 2027 or early 2028. This development may alleviate the current global DRAM shortage, which has heavily impacted the PC market and smaller consumer electronics businesses.
- 01Khe-Hyun Kyung estimates that Chinese DRAM production could reach six million wafers per month by H2 2027.
- 02Korea currently dominates the DRAM market, holding nearly 70% of the global share.
- 03Kyung suggests Korea should focus on fabless system semiconductors and AI to remain competitive.
- 04The current DRAM supply crisis has led to significant challenges for smaller consumer electronics businesses.
- 05Previous estimates indicated the DRAM shortage might last until 2030 or 2035, making a 2028 price drop significant.
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Khe-Hyun Kyung, a senior advisor at Samsung and former head of its Device Solutions division, forecasts that the ramp-up of Chinese DRAM production could lead to a significant drop in RAM prices by late 2027 or early 2028. Speaking at the 285th NAEK Forum in Korea, Kyung emphasized that Korea, which holds nearly 70% of the global DRAM market, must adapt to the changing landscape. He advocates for a pivot towards fabless system semiconductors and the development of sovereign AI technologies, as competing with both the U.S. and China in hardware and software is increasingly challenging. Kyung predicts that Chinese production capacity could reach six million wafers per month by H2 2027, potentially easing the ongoing DRAM shortage that has severely affected the PC market and smaller consumer electronics companies. While the timeline for Chinese RAM entering the U.S. market remains uncertain, the increased global supply could benefit consumers significantly. Earlier projections suggested the DRAM crisis might extend until 2030 or 2035, making a price reduction by 2028 a notable achievement for consumers and businesses alike.
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The anticipated increase in DRAM production from China could lead to lower prices, benefiting consumers and smaller businesses struggling with the current shortage.
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