Silver Market Outlook: Strategies for Short-Term Traders and Long-Term Investors
As silver slides, punters should exit, long-term investors should buy dip
Business Standard
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Silver prices have corrected by 29.2% after a 155.4% rise over the past year, prompting experts to advise short-term traders to exit while suggesting long-term investors buy on dips. Factors influencing silver prices include geopolitical tensions, inflation risks, and industrial demand, particularly from China.
- 01Silver prices have dropped 29.2% after a significant rise of 155.4% over the past year.
- 02Short-term traders are advised to exit and book losses, while long-term investors should consider accumulating silver on dips.
- 03Geopolitical tensions and inflation risks are key factors impacting silver prices.
- 04A structural deficit in silver supply could stabilize prices in the long term.
- 05Long-term investors should stagger their investments rather than making lump-sum purchases.
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Silver prices have seen a significant correction of 29.2% after a remarkable increase of 155.4% in the past year. Experts suggest that short-term traders should consider exiting their positions to book losses, while long-term investors are encouraged to buy silver on dips. The correction is attributed to several factors, including geopolitical tensions from the US/Israel-Iran conflict, which have pushed crude oil prices above $100, and rising inflation expectations leading to higher interest rates. Vikram Dhawan, head commodities and fund manager at Nippon India Mutual Fund, notes that a stronger US dollar and elevated interest rate expectations have negatively impacted silver's appeal as a non-yielding asset. Additionally, profit-booking by institutional investors and a decline in industrial demand, particularly from a slowing Chinese economy, have contributed to the price drop. Despite these challenges, silver remains in a long-term structural deficit, driven by rising demand from green technologies. Experts believe that if industrial demand stabilizes and interest rates peak, silver could gradually recover over the next 12-24 months. Investors are advised to stagger their purchases and avoid lump-sum investments to mitigate risks.
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Investors in silver may need to adjust their strategies based on market volatility and geopolitical factors, affecting their portfolio performance.
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