RBI Deputy Governor Suggests Possible Cut to Inflation Target Amid Stable Growth
Inflation target can be cut if growth, stable prices persist: RBI deputy governor
The Economic TimesImage: The Economic Times
Poonam Gupta, Deputy Governor of the Reserve Bank of India, indicated that India might consider reducing its inflation target if strong economic growth and stable prices persist over the next five years. However, she emphasized the importance of maintaining the current framework in light of ongoing global challenges.
- 01India's inflation target remains at 4% with a tolerance band of +/-2% until March 2031.
- 02Poonam Gupta suggests a potential reduction in the inflation target if growth continues alongside low inflation.
- 03The RBI projects an average inflation rate of 4.6% for FY27.
- 04IMF's Krishna Srinivasan highlights the need for India to gradually allow price signals to function.
- 05Experts warn that prolonged global conflicts could increase inflationary pressures.
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Poonam Gupta, Deputy Governor of the Reserve Bank of India, stated that India could contemplate lowering its inflation target if strong growth and stable prices persist over the next five years. Currently, the inflation target is set at 4% with a tolerance band of +/-2% until March 31, 2031. Gupta noted that the existing framework should remain unchanged due to ongoing global challenges. She highlighted that if the trend of robust growth alongside lower inflation continues, India might align its targets with other economies. The RBI anticipates an average inflation rate of 4.6% for the fiscal year 2027. Krishna Srinivasan from the International Monetary Fund emphasized the importance of allowing price signals to operate while acknowledging India's prudent fiscal policy amid external shocks. However, he cautioned that prolonged global conflicts could exacerbate inflationary pressures, necessitating agile monetary policy. Additionally, Ram Singh from the Delhi School of Economics remarked on the potential negative impact of limiting price pass-through on efficiency and fiscal health.
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If the inflation target is lowered, it could lead to more favorable economic conditions for consumers and businesses, potentially resulting in lower interest rates and increased investment.
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