Kerala Exit Poll 2026: Congress-Led UDF Projected to Regain Power
Kerala Exit Poll 2026: Axis-My India Predicts Clear Edge For Congress-Led UDF, Setback For LDF
News 18
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Recent exit polls indicate that the Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF) is likely to return to power in Kerala, winning between 78 and 90 seats in the 140-member Assembly. This would mark a significant setback for the ruling Left Democratic Front (LDF), which has governed since 2016.
- 01The UDF is projected to win between 78 and 90 seats, surpassing the majority mark.
- 02The LDF is estimated to secure 49 to 62 seats, potentially ending its decade-long governance.
- 03The BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) is forecast to win 0 to 3 seats.
- 04Anti-incumbency sentiment may be influencing voter preferences towards the UDF.
- 05Two exit polls show differing margins but agree on an advantage for the UDF.
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The Axis-My India exit poll suggests that the Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF) is poised to reclaim power in Kerala, with projections indicating a win of between 78 and 90 seats in the 140-member Assembly. The ruling Left Democratic Front (LDF), led by Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan, is estimated to secure 49 to 62 seats, marking a potential end to its attempt for a third consecutive term. Meanwhile, the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) is expected to remain on the margins with 0 to 3 seats.
The UDF coalition, which includes the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML), has been gaining traction, possibly due to anti-incumbency sentiments among voters. A competing exit poll conducted by VoteVibe for CNN-News18 also places the UDF ahead but with a narrower margin, estimating 70 to 80 seats for the UDF and 58 to 68 seats for the LDF. Both polls indicate a shift in voter preference, making this election crucial for determining whether Kerala will return to its historical pattern of alternating governance between the UDF and LDF. However, exit polls are indicative and the final results will only be confirmed once the votes are counted.
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If the UDF regains power, it could lead to significant policy changes in Kerala, affecting governance and local initiatives.
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