The Axis-My India exit poll suggests that the Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF) is poised to reclaim power in Kerala, with projections indicating a win of between 78 and 90 seats in the 140-member Assembly. The ruling Left Democratic Front (LDF), led by Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan, is estimated to secure 49 to 62 seats, marking a potential end to its attempt for a third consecutive term. Meanwhile, the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) is expected to remain on the margins with 0 to 3 seats.

The UDF coalition, which includes the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML), has been gaining traction, possibly due to anti-incumbency sentiments among voters. A competing exit poll conducted by VoteVibe for CNN-News18 also places the UDF ahead but with a narrower margin, estimating 70 to 80 seats for the UDF and 58 to 68 seats for the LDF. Both polls indicate a shift in voter preference, making this election crucial for determining whether Kerala will return to its historical pattern of alternating governance between the UDF and LDF. However, exit polls are indicative and the final results will only be confirmed once the votes are counted.