Bangladesh Set to Overtake India in Per Capita Income by FY27
Datanomics: Bangladesh may surpass India in per capita income in FY27
Business Standard
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According to International Monetary Fund (IMF) data, Bangladesh is projected to surpass India in per capita income in the fiscal year 2026-27. This follows a period from 2018-19 to 2024-25 when Bangladesh consistently led India in this metric, before briefly falling behind in 2025-26.
- 01Bangladesh held the per capita income lead over India from 2018-19 to 2024-25.
- 02In 2025-26, Bangladesh's per capita income fell below India's.
- 03IMF data forecasts Bangladesh will regain the lead in FY27.
- 04Currency fluctuations and growth trends may impact these projections.
- 05The political context includes the overthrow of Sheikh Hasina's government in 2025-26.
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Bangladesh has been a leader in per capita income over India from 2018-19 to 2024-25, but is projected to fall behind in 2025-26. However, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) forecasts that Bangladesh will regain its position, surpassing India in per capita income by 2026-27. This anticipated shift is influenced by various factors, including currency fluctuations and growth trends. The political landscape, particularly the recent overthrow of Sheikh Hasina's government, may also play a role in these economic dynamics. The situation reflects the ongoing economic competition between the two neighboring countries.
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This economic shift could influence investment decisions and economic policies in both Bangladesh and India.
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