Predictions on Satoshi Nakamoto's Bitcoin Movement Through 2026
Satoshi Nakamoto Likely To Move Their Bitcoin In 2026? Here's What The Biggest Prediction Markets Are Saying
Benzinga
Image: Benzinga
Prediction markets indicate that Satoshi Nakamoto, the enigmatic creator of Bitcoin, is unlikely to move their substantial stash of 1.1 million BTC (approximately $85.47 billion) before 2026. Current odds suggest only a 9% chance of any movement this year, with over $2.6 million wagered on this outcome.
- 01Satoshi Nakamoto's Bitcoin stash remains dormant, with only a 9% chance of movement this year.
- 02Nakamoto holds about 1.1 million BTC, valued at approximately $85.47 billion.
- 03Prediction markets have seen over $2.6 million wagered on Nakamoto's Bitcoin activity.
- 04Recent small transactions have occurred, but no outgoing transactions have been confirmed.
- 05Bitcoin's current price is $77,941.82, reflecting a 2.83% increase in the last 24 hours.
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Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator of Bitcoin, holds an estimated 1.1 million BTC, valued at around $85.47 billion, making them the wealthiest cryptocurrency holder globally. Prediction markets, including Polymarket and Kalshi, suggest a mere 9% probability that Nakamoto will move any of their Bitcoin this year, with over $2.6 million wagered on the outcome. Despite the lack of outgoing transactions, Nakamoto-associated wallets have occasionally received small amounts of Bitcoin, such as 2.5 BTC in February, worth over $174,405 at that time. Currently, Bitcoin is trading at $77,941.82, having risen 2.83% in the past 24 hours. The mystery surrounding Nakamoto's identity continues, with speculation that they could be an individual or a group.
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