The Indian government has increased its wheat procurement target by 15% to 34.5 million tonnes to support farmers and manage surplus amid high production levels. With expectations of wheat output reaching 110-120 million tonnes for the 2025-26 season, the government aims to ease stock pressure by approving an additional 2.5 million tonnes for export, bringing the total export quota to 5 million tonnes. However, industry experts express concerns regarding the effectiveness of these measures, citing limited storage capacity and high domestic prices that make Indian wheat less competitive globally. Currently, the Food Corporation of India (FCI) holds a stock of 60.40 million tonnes, with only 34.82 million tonnes of space available for new procurement, which could lead to surplus stocks of 30-35 million tonnes by the end of the next season. Stakeholders indicate that without a clear disposal plan for surplus stocks, market interventions may be necessary, likely through the Open Market Sale Scheme (OMSS). Despite the government's efforts, trade sentiment remains cautious as processors and traders are reluctant to build inventories at elevated prices. The minimum support price (MSP) for wheat has been set at ₹2,585 per quintal, up from ₹2,425 last year, but current mandi prices hover around ₹2,300-2,400 per quintal. Overall, while the government's strategy aims to stabilize the wheat market, significant challenges remain in achieving effective surplus management and export competitiveness.