Anthropic Takes Lead in IPO Race Against OpenAI as Prediction Markets Favor AI Giant
Sam Altman's OpenAI Or Dario Amodei's Anthropic, Who Will Make Their Public Debut First? Crypto Prediction Market Is Betting On This AI Giant

Image: Benzinga
Anthropic has initiated steps for its public debut by filing a draft registration statement with the SEC, putting it ahead of OpenAI. Prediction markets indicate a 76% chance that Anthropic will IPO first, while OpenAI's debut probability stands at 29%.
- 01Anthropic has submitted a draft registration statement for an initial public offering (IPO) to the SEC.
- 02Prediction markets show a 76% probability that Anthropic will go public before OpenAI.
- 03OpenAI is transforming its ChatGPT platform into a 'superapp' with enhanced coding tools and AI agents.
- 04Codex, OpenAI's coding product, has over five million weekly active users and is central to its strategy.
- 05OpenAI plans to provide the U.S. government early access to new AI models under a voluntary framework.
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Anthropic has made a significant move towards its initial public offering (IPO) by filing a draft registration statement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), positioning itself ahead of OpenAI. According to data from Kalshi, a prediction market platform, bettors are overwhelmingly favoring Anthropic, assigning a 76% probability to its IPO occurring first, compared to a mere 29% for OpenAI. This competitive landscape is heightened by OpenAI's own preparations to launch a revamped version of its ChatGPT platform, which aims to evolve into a 'superapp' by integrating advanced coding tools and AI agents. OpenAI's Codex, which has amassed over five million weekly active users, will play a pivotal role in this transformation, steering users towards tasks such as coding and image generation. Furthermore, OpenAI intends to offer the U.S. government early access to its new AI models, reflecting its commitment to collaboration with federal authorities. As these two AI giants race towards their public debuts, the market is keenly watching their next moves.
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