Monetary Policy Committee Member Ram Singh Discusses Current Economic Outlook and Repo Rate Stability
Repo rate hike not on the cards, for now, says Ram Singh, external member of MPC
The Economic TimesImage: The Economic Times
Ram Singh, an external member of India's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC), indicated that a repo rate hike is not currently being considered despite high energy costs. He emphasized monitoring for second-round inflation effects and provided insights on foreign exchange reserves and GDP growth forecasts amid global trade challenges.
- 01Repo rate hike is not on the agenda for now, according to Ram Singh.
- 02Second-round inflation effects will be monitored, particularly from high energy costs.
- 03Current foreign exchange reserves are stable despite rising crude oil prices.
- 04GDP growth forecasts have been revised downward by 50-60 basis points.
- 05Economic fundamentals such as private demand and credit growth remain strong.
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Ram Singh, an external member of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) in India, stated that an increase in the repo rate is not currently being considered. He noted that the ongoing inflation is supply-driven, and the MPC will monitor potential second-round effects from persistently high energy costs. Singh indicated that if energy prices lead to increased costs in downstream products, it could signal the need for a policy response. However, he expects any inflationary impacts to be moderate and gradual, particularly as he anticipates a resolution to the West Asia conflict soon. Singh also addressed concerns regarding India's foreign exchange reserves, asserting they remain stable despite rising crude import costs. He mentioned that the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is likely to continue open market operations to maintain liquidity in the economy. Furthermore, Singh revised the GDP growth forecast downward by 50-60 basis points, but highlighted that key economic indicators, such as private demand and credit growth, remain robust.
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The stability of the repo rate may help maintain lower borrowing costs for consumers and businesses, supporting economic growth amidst global trade challenges.
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