India's Crackdown on Prediction Markets: Polymarket Blocked, Kalshi Next?
India cracks down on prediction markets: Polymarket goes dark, Kalshi could be next
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India's government has implemented a crackdown on prediction markets, leading to the blocking of Polymarket for users in the country. Following a directive from the Ministry of Electronics and Information Technology, Kalshi, another prediction platform, may soon face similar restrictions as Indian authorities classify these markets as illegal online gambling.
- 01Polymarket is the world's largest decentralized prediction market and has been blocked in India following a government directive.
- 02The Ministry of Electronics and Information Technology is preparing to issue a blocking order for Kalshi, a U.S.-regulated prediction market.
- 03Prediction markets allow users to bet on outcomes of events, but the Indian government categorizes them as prohibited online money gaming.
- 04India's regulatory environment has led many crypto startups to relocate to more favorable jurisdictions like Dubai and Singapore.
- 05The Ministry of Finance is enforcing strict regulations on cryptocurrencies, including a 30% tax on gains and a 1% tax deducted at source.
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India's crackdown on prediction markets has intensified, with Polymarket, a leading decentralized platform, now inaccessible to users in the country. This follows a directive from the Ministry of Electronics and Information Technology (MeitY), which mandated internet service providers to block access to certain betting platforms. Reports suggest that Kalshi, a U.S.-regulated prediction market, may soon face similar restrictions. The Indian government has classified prediction markets as illegal online money gaming, falling under the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act 2025. This regulatory stance reflects India's broader risk-averse approach to the cryptocurrency sector, prioritizing financial stability over industry growth. The government has imposed punitive taxes on crypto transactions, including a 30% flat tax on gains and a 1% tax deducted at source, effectively stifling domestic trading. As a result, many local crypto startups are relocating to more favorable environments like Dubai and Singapore. The Parliamentary Standing Committee on Finance has also expressed concerns about significant capital outflows via cryptocurrency channels, indicating ongoing scrutiny of the virtual digital assets (VDA) industry in India.
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The blocking of prediction markets like Polymarket may limit investment opportunities for Indian users and push local crypto startups to relocate abroad.
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