Potential SpaceX IPO Could Face Unique Market Conditions
EXCLUSIVE: Get Ready For SpaceX 'Structural Squeeze' As Wall Street Crams Into 5% Float
Benzinga
Image: Benzinga
A future IPO for SpaceX may not follow traditional public offering patterns, according to Chan Ahn, CEO of Tessera PE. He warns that new Nasdaq rules could lead to a 'structural squeeze' due to a limited tradable float of about 5%, while institutional demand from passive funds rises sharply.
- 01SpaceX's IPO may not behave like traditional offerings due to new Nasdaq rules.
- 02Chan Ahn predicts a 'structural squeeze' because of a very limited tradable float.
- 03The updated Nasdaq rules allow quick index inclusion, potentially affecting IPO dynamics.
- 04Passive index funds may become immediate buyers, complicating price discovery.
- 05The changing landscape could impact future mega-cap IPOs in AI and infrastructure.
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Chan Ahn, CEO of Tessera PE and a former executive at Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan, warns that a future IPO for SpaceX might not adhere to traditional public offering practices. He highlights that new Nasdaq rules allowing rapid index inclusion could lead to a 'structural squeeze' instead of normal price discovery. Ahn estimates that SpaceX's tradable float could be as low as 5% due to Elon Musk's significant ownership stake and insider lockups. This limited supply, coupled with the potential for passive index funds to become immediate buyers, creates a scenario that deviates from historical IPO dynamics. Ahn indicates that this shift could have wider implications for future mega-cap IPOs, especially in sectors like AI and infrastructure, as the market becomes increasingly influenced by passive investment strategies.
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