Ficci-IBA Survey Predicts 9-13% Industrial Credit Growth in India for Early 2026
Industrial credit growth seen at 9-13% in Jan-June: Ficci-IBA survey
Business Standard
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The Ficci-IBA survey forecasts a 9-13% growth in industrial credit for the Indian banking sector from January to June 2026, driven by capital expenditure revival and infrastructure demand. Public sector banks are expected to lead this growth, while small finance and cooperative banks show more conservative projections.
- 01Industrial credit growth in India is projected at 9-13% for January-June 2026.
- 02Public sector banks are expected to achieve credit growth of 11-13%, reflecting improved asset quality.
- 03Small finance and cooperative banks anticipate more conservative growth of 7-9%.
- 04Key sectors for borrowing include infrastructure, real estate, and manufacturing.
- 05Demand for working capital loans is expected to rise in textiles, auto components, and pharmaceuticals.
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The Indian banking sector is projected to experience 9-13% growth in industrial credit during the first half of 2026, according to the Ficci-IBA survey. This growth is anticipated to be steady rather than sharp, supported by a revival in capital expenditure and infrastructure demand. Public sector banks are expected to lead with credit growth of 11-13%, buoyed by improved asset quality and corporate lending momentum. In contrast, small finance and cooperative banks are more conservative, forecasting growth of 7-9% due to limited exposure to large industrial borrowers. Key sectors expected to drive borrowing include infrastructure, real estate, and manufacturing, with retail loan growth also showing strong optimism. The demand for working capital loans is projected to rise, particularly from the textiles and auto components sectors, indicating a shift towards investment-led growth rather than consumption-driven sectors. The overall outlook suggests a capex-heavy and infrastructure-led demand for term loans in the coming months.
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The anticipated growth in industrial credit could lead to increased investment in infrastructure and manufacturing, potentially boosting job creation and economic activity in these sectors.
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