Reliance Industries Faces Pressure from Oil-to-Chemicals Business in Upcoming Earnings
Probal Sen flags muted quarter for Reliance as O2C weakness weighs
The Economic TimesImage: The Economic Times
Reliance Industries is expected to report subdued earnings this quarter, primarily due to challenges in its oil-to-chemicals (O2C) segment. Analysts predict a decline in EBITDA from ₹165 billion to less than ₹140 billion, impacting overall net profit, which may fall to approximately ₹162-163 billion.
- 01Reliance's oil-to-chemicals segment is under pressure due to high crude costs and reduced petrochemical throughput.
- 02EBITDA is projected to decline from ₹165 billion to less than ₹140 billion this quarter.
- 03Net profit is expected to decrease to around ₹162-163 billion from ₹186 billion in the previous quarter.
- 04Retail operations may experience losses due to ongoing operations despite weak margins.
- 05Reliance Retail is anticipated to show steady growth, with a year-on-year improvement of 7-8%.
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Reliance Industries, a major player in the Indian market, is anticipated to report muted earnings for the current quarter, primarily due to challenges in its oil-to-chemicals (O2C) business. Analyst Probal Sen from ICICI Securities highlighted that EBITDA for the O2C segment is likely to drop from ₹165 billion in the previous quarter to less than ₹140 billion this quarter, significantly affecting overall performance. Consequently, net profit is expected to decline to approximately ₹162-163 billion, down from ₹186 billion in the previous quarter. While the retail segment is projected to maintain growth, with a year-on-year increase of 7-8%, the ongoing difficulties in the energy sector are expected to weigh on Reliance's consolidated results. The company’s Special Economic Zone (SEZ) refinery may provide some buffer against export-related levies, although high crude and freight costs continue to pose challenges. Overall, while retail and telecom segments offer some stability, the energy business's ongoing issues are likely to impact Reliance's financial performance this quarter.
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The decline in earnings could affect investor confidence and stock performance, potentially impacting shareholders and employees.
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