2026 Assembly Elections: Tight Race in Kerala, BJP Dominance in Assam
Exit Polls 2026: Chanakya Projects Neck-To-Neck Contest In Kerala, BJP Wave In Assam
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Recent projections by Today's Chanakya for the 2026 Assembly elections suggest a close contest in Kerala, with the Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF) slightly ahead of the CPI(M)-led Left Democratic Front (LDF). In Assam, the BJP-led alliance is expected to secure a significant victory.
- 01UDF projected to win 69 seats in Kerala Assembly, LDF at 64.
- 02BJP-led alliance expected to secure only 7 seats in Kerala.
- 03In Assam, BJP+ projected to dominate with 102 seats.
- 04Congress-led alliance in Assam expected to win just 23 seats.
- 05Vote share in Kerala shows UDF at 40% and LDF at 38%.
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Today's Chanakya's exit poll projections for the 2026 Assembly elections indicate a competitive race in Kerala, where the Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF) is forecasted to secure 69 seats (±9) in the 140-member Assembly, slightly ahead of the ruling CPI(M)-led Left Democratic Front (LDF) at 64 seats (±9). The BJP-led alliance is expected to win a modest 7 seats (±4). Vote share estimates reflect this tight contest, with the UDF anticipated to garner 40% (±3%) of the votes, closely followed by the LDF at 38% (±3%). Meanwhile, in Assam, the BJP-led alliance is projected to achieve a commanding victory with 102 seats (±9) in the 126-member Assembly, while the Congress-led alliance is expected to secure only 23 seats (±9). These projections underscore the contrasting political landscapes in both states, with Kerala's contest remaining finely balanced and Assam favoring the BJP decisively. However, with significant margins of error, these projections should be viewed as trends rather than definitive outcomes.
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The election outcomes could significantly influence local governance and policy directions in both Kerala and Assam.
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