The recent CNN-News18-VoteVibe exit poll reveals a complex political landscape in Kerala ahead of the elections. Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan leads in personal popularity with 31.8% support, despite his government's declining approval amid anti-incumbency sentiments. The exit poll indicates that the Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF) is projected to capture 42.6% of the vote share, potentially winning 70-80 seats, while the Left Democratic Front (LDF) trails with 39.5% and 58-68 seats. This divergence highlights a two-layered mandate: while voters prefer Vijayan as a leader, they seem inclined to support the UDF for governance change. The UDF has gained traction among key demographic groups, including 54.2% of Muslims and 58.3% of Christians, indicating a broader coalition compared to the LDF's concentrated support among Scheduled Caste voters and Other Backward Classes. Ultimately, Vijayan's personal appeal, rooted in his decisive leadership and governance record, remains strong, even as the electorate leans toward the UDF for a shift in political power.