The exit polls for the 2026 West Bengal Assembly elections suggest a significant advantage for the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), with projections indicating they could win between 146 and 161 seats. In contrast, the Trinamool Congress (TMC), led by Mamata Banerjee, is forecasted to secure around 120 to 140 seats. A separate survey conducted by VoteVibe for CNN-News18 for the first phase of voting indicates that the BJP is likely to win between 88 and 98 of the 152 seats, while the TMC+ alliance is projected to gain 51 to 61 seats. The BJP's strong performance is attributed to its broad support among Scheduled Castes (SC), Scheduled Tribes (ST), Other Backward Classes (OBC), and upper-caste Hindu voters, although the TMC maintains dominance in regions like Malda due to its consolidated Muslim voter base. Both surveys highlight the BJP's momentum, although the electoral contest remains competitive, with potential shifts in the second phase. It is important to note that exit polls are based on post-voting surveys and should be viewed as indicative rather than definitive until the official results are announced.