Bernstein Identifies HomeFirst and Aadhar as Top Housing Finance Stocks Amid Market Correction
Housing finance stocks near inflection point, Bernstein picks 2 favourites
The Economic TimesImage: The Economic Times
Bernstein has identified HomeFirst and Aadhar Housing Finance as its top picks in the affordable housing finance sector, citing an impending turnaround in growth and asset quality. The brokerage believes the current market correction presents a favorable entry point for investors, given attractive valuations and improving fundamentals.
- 01Bernstein sees an inflection point for housing finance stocks, particularly affordable housing financiers.
- 02HomeFirst and Aadhar Housing Finance are highlighted as top picks due to their strong franchises.
- 03Current price-to-earnings multiples for affordable housing finance companies are at three-year lows.
- 04The sector is expected to experience growth and improved asset quality despite recent market volatility.
- 05Structural advantages position affordable housing finance companies favorably against larger non-banking financial companies.
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Bernstein has identified a significant opportunity in the affordable housing finance sector, particularly for stocks like HomeFirst and Aadhar Housing Finance. The brokerage notes that these companies are nearing an inflection point in both growth and asset quality, making them attractive investments amid the recent market selloff. The report highlights that affordable housing finance companies (AHFCs) have experienced a sharp derating in stock prices over the past 6-9 months, with current price-to-earnings multiples at three-year lows. Bernstein emphasizes that despite this correction, the fundamentals for AHFCs are improving, with signs of sequential growth in disbursements and stabilizing early-stage delinquencies. The analysts argue that AHFCs are better positioned than larger non-banking financial companies (NBFCs) due to their secured loan books and favorable funding profiles. Bernstein values HomeFirst at a target price of ₹1,430 based on a 22x FY27 earnings multiple and Aadhar at ₹600 with a 20x FY27 earnings multiple, indicating significant upside potential. The report underscores the long-term growth thesis for affordable housing in India, driven by low mortgage penetration and the need for operationally intensive models to serve mass-market borrowers.
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Investors looking to enter the affordable housing finance market may find attractive opportunities, potentially leading to increased capital flow into the sector.
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