Government Bond Yields Rise Following Crude Oil Surge and US Treasury Yields
Govt bond yields jump nearly 10 bps tracking crude surge, US yields
Business StandardImage: Business Standard
Government bond yields in India increased by 9 basis points to 7.13% on Thursday, driven by a 6% rise in Brent crude prices to $107 per barrel and a jump in US Treasury yields. Analysts expect yields to reach 7.25% by the end of April amid ongoing global uncertainties.
- 0110-year government bond yield rose by 9 basis points to 7.13%
- 02Brent crude prices surged by 6% to $107 per barrel
- 03US Treasury yield increased by 5 basis points to 4.35%
- 04Market expects the 10-year government bond yield to reach 7.25% by April
- 05Weak demand at a recent gilt auction contributed to rising yields
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On Thursday, government bond yields in India increased by 9 basis points to close at 7.13%, influenced by a 6% surge in Brent crude oil prices, which reached $107 per barrel. This rise followed comments from US President Donald Trump regarding ongoing tensions in the Middle East. Additionally, the yield on the benchmark 10-year US Treasury note rose by 5 basis points to 4.35%, further pressuring domestic yields. Dealers noted that the overnight index swap (OIS) rates also increased, with the one-year OIS rising to 6.37% from 6.25% and the five-year OIS climbing to 6.87% from 6.79%. The uptick in yields was exacerbated by a recent gilt auction that saw lower-than-expected demand, prompting a sell-off in the secondary market. Market sentiment was further dampened as traders opted not to hold positions over the long weekend due to uncertainties. Analysts predict that the benchmark 10-year government bond yield may test 7.25% by the end of April, driven by heavy supply of state development loans (SDLs) and global economic factors. The government plans to issue ₹8.2 trillion ($99 billion USD) in dated securities in the first half of FY27, which could exert additional upward pressure on yields.
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The increase in bond yields may lead to higher borrowing costs for consumers and businesses, affecting home loan EMIs and other loans.
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