India's GDP Growth Projected to Drop to 6.5% by FY27 Amid Rising Crude Oil Prices
India's GDP may come down to 6.5% in FY27, if crude remains at USD 100: CareEdge
The Economic TimesImage: The Economic Times
According to CareEdge Ratings, India's GDP growth may decline to 6.5% in FY27 if crude oil prices average $100 per barrel. Inflation is also expected to rise above 5%, driven by increased energy costs and supply disruptions due to the ongoing conflict in West Asia.
- 01India's GDP growth could fall to 6.5% in FY27 if crude oil prices average $100 per barrel.
- 02Inflation is projected to exceed 5% under high crude prices.
- 03Normal conditions with crude at $60-70 per barrel estimated growth at 7.2%.
- 04Sectors like airlines and petrochemicals may face significant challenges due to rising costs.
- 05Domestic demand remains a support for the economy amidst these challenges.
Advertisement
In-Article Ad
A report by CareEdge Ratings indicates that India's GDP growth could slow to 6.5% in FY27 if crude oil prices remain elevated at around $100 per barrel. This scenario would also push inflation above 5%, reflecting the economic strain from higher energy costs. Under normal conditions, with crude prices between $60 and $70 per barrel, GDP growth was estimated at 7.2%. As crude prices rise, the growth outlook diminishes, potentially dropping to 6.1% at $110 per barrel and below 6.0% at $120 per barrel. The inflation rates are also expected to rise, with projections of 5.1%-5.3% at $100 per barrel and up to 6.4%-6.6% at $120. The report emphasizes that sectors such as airlines and petrochemicals are likely to be heavily impacted due to rising input costs, while others like pharmaceuticals and renewable energy may face lower risks. Despite these challenges, domestic demand continues to support the economy, although rising crude prices pose significant risks to growth and consumption.
Advertisement
In-Article Ad
Higher crude oil prices could lead to increased costs for consumers, affecting household budgets and overall economic growth.
Advertisement
In-Article Ad
Reader Poll
How concerned are you about rising crude oil prices affecting the economy?
Connecting to poll...
More about CareEdge Ratings
Read the original article
Visit the source for the complete story.




