Foreign Investors Withdraw ₹1.6 Lakh Crore from Indian Equities Amid Iran-US War
FIIs sell Indian equities worth Rs 1.6 lakh cr since outbreak of Iran-US war. Where are they going and when will they come back?
The Economic TimesImage: The Economic Times
Foreign investors have sold Indian equities worth ₹1.6 lakh crore (approximately $192 billion USD) since the onset of the Iran-US conflict, leading to significant market declines. While recent ceasefire talks have improved sentiment, analysts caution that sustained selling may continue unless geopolitical tensions ease and crude oil prices stabilize.
- 01Foreign investors net sold ₹1.6 lakh crore in Indian equities from March 2 to April 9, 2023.
- 02The Sensex and Nifty indices dropped over 11% in March due to sustained selling pressure.
- 03Recent ceasefire talks have led to a brief recovery in the markets, with a 6% gain in early April.
- 04Analysts suggest that foreign investors may find markets in South Korea and Taiwan more attractive than India.
- 05Future FII buying will depend on the resolution of the West Asia conflict and crude oil price movements.
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Since the outbreak of the Iran-US war in early March 2023, foreign investors have been selling off Indian equities at an alarming rate, totaling ₹1.6 lakh crore (approximately $192 billion USD) over 27 consecutive sessions. This mass exit has significantly impacted the Indian stock market, with the Sensex and Nifty indices experiencing a decline of more than 11% in March. The situation was exacerbated by rising oil prices due to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, a critical oil shipping route. However, the beginning of April brought new optimism as ceasefire talks emerged, leading to a 6% recovery in the indices. Despite this, foreign investors continued to sell, netting over ₹39,640 crore in the first week of April alone. On April 10, a small respite occurred when foreign investors net bought ₹672 crore worth of shares, breaking a long selling streak. Analysts highlight that the attractiveness of markets in South Korea and Taiwan, which are expected to deliver superior earnings growth compared to India, is influencing foreign investment decisions. The future of foreign investment in India will largely depend on geopolitical stability in West Asia and fluctuations in crude oil prices, as prolonged conflict could adversely affect India's economic outlook.
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The significant outflow of foreign investment could lead to increased market volatility and affect the overall economic stability in India.
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