MCX Crude Oil Prices Face Weekly Decline Amid US-Iran Ceasefire Developments
MCX crude oil prices headed for weekly loss amid fragile US-Iran ceasefire; what’s the strategy ahead?
Mint
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Crude oil prices on the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) rose over 3% on Friday, reaching ₹9,222 per barrel, driven by international market gains and supply concerns. However, prices are set for an 11% weekly loss due to a fragile ceasefire between the US and Iran, raising questions about future price stability.
- 01MCX crude oil prices surged over 3% on Friday but are heading for an 11% weekly loss.
- 02The rise was attributed to supply concerns and international market gains.
- 03A fragile ceasefire between the US and Iran is impacting market dynamics.
- 04Analysts suggest potential support levels at ₹9,000 and resistance at ₹9,250.
- 05Future price movements will depend on the outcome of US-Iran negotiations.
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On Friday, crude oil prices on the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) increased by over 3%, reaching a high of ₹9,222 per barrel, following gains in the international market where Brent crude futures rose to $96.86 a barrel. Despite this surge, crude oil prices are on track for an 11% weekly loss, marking the largest decline since June 2025. The decline is attributed to easing geopolitical tensions, particularly a fragile ceasefire between the US and Iran, which has led to a significant drop in tanker traffic through the critical Strait of Hormuz. Jigar Trivedi, a Senior Research Analyst at IndusInd Securities, noted that while prices initially gained due to Israeli strikes and the closure of the Strait, the ceasefire has shifted market sentiment. He indicated that if US-Iran talks fail, prices could rebound, but successful negotiations may lead to a price correction. Additionally, ongoing attacks on Saudi energy facilities have reduced the kingdom's oil production capacity by approximately 600,000 barrels per day. Analysts predict that MCX crude oil prices may find support in the ₹9,000 - ₹8,800 range, with resistance levels at ₹9,250 - ₹9,400.
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The fluctuations in crude oil prices could affect fuel prices and transportation costs for consumers in India, potentially leading to increased costs for goods and services.
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