Aluminium Prices Surge Amid Supply Disruptions; Religare Sets Targets
Commodity Radar: Aluminium supply squeeze offers opportunity as Religare suggests targets
The Economic TimesImage: The Economic Times
Aluminium prices have surged by 1.2% to ₹357.20 per kg due to global supply disruptions linked to geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Religare Broking suggests maintaining a buy strategy with targets set between ₹370-372 as long as prices remain above ₹335.
- 01Aluminium prices rose 1.2% to ₹357.20 per kg amid geopolitical tensions.
- 02Supply disruptions in the Middle East are causing significant market volatility.
- 03Religare Broking recommends a buy strategy with targets of ₹370-372.
- 04Iran's attacks have halted aluminium operations in Qatar and threatened UAE and Bahrain facilities.
- 05Warehouse stocks are at multi-year lows, increasing the potential for price spikes.
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Aluminium prices are experiencing a notable increase, rising 1.2% to ₹357.20 per kg, driven by supply disruptions due to escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly the ongoing conflict involving Iran. Ajit Mishra, Senior Vice President of Research at Religare Broking, attributes this rally to supply shocks, including Iran's missile strikes impacting aluminium smelters. The current volatility in prices is influenced by the risk of sudden de-escalation in the region, which could lead to profit-taking by traders. Despite this, the outlook remains positive as long as structural supply constraints persist. Major producers in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) have halted refining activities, risking a suspension of operations in a region that contributes 10% of global aluminium supply. Mishra suggests maintaining a buy strategy, targeting prices between ₹370-372 while keeping a stop loss at ₹335. The technical outlook indicates a bullish trend, supported by recent price movements above key moving averages.
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The surge in aluminium prices could affect manufacturing costs and ultimately consumer prices for goods that rely on aluminium, such as automobiles and packaging.
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