Haitong Initiates Coverage on Paytm with 26% Upside Potential Amid Market Challenges
Paytm down 20% from peak, but Haitong sees 26% upside. 4 reasons for initiating coverage
The Economic TimesImage: The Economic Times
Haitong has rated One 97 Communication (Paytm) as 'Outperform' with a target price of ₹1,410, suggesting a 26% upside. Despite a 20% drop from its peak, the brokerage forecasts significant profit growth driven by Paytm's strong position in India's digital payments sector.
- 01Haitong projects a 26% upside for Paytm's stock, targeting ₹1,410.
- 02Paytm's net profit is expected to quadruple by FY26-28E.
- 03The company holds a 6.9% share in UPI transactions as of February 2026.
- 04Merchant lending revenue has surged 59% year-over-year in 9MFY26.
- 05Paytm has achieved a 6% core EBITDA margin, indicating operational efficiency.
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Haitong has initiated coverage on One 97 Communication (Paytm) with an 'Outperform' rating and a target price of ₹1,410, indicating a potential upside of 26%. This comes after Paytm's shares have fallen 20% from their 52-week peak of ₹1,381 on the National Stock Exchange (NSE). Despite this decline, Paytm's stock has shown resilience, trading 31% higher year-on-year and rebounding 16% in April. Haitong's optimistic outlook is based on several factors: Paytm's leadership in India's retail digital payments, a projected 4X increase in net profit over FY26-28E, and a significant growth potential in merchant lending, where only 7% of merchants currently utilize these services. The brokerage anticipates a 38% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) in net payments revenue, alongside an improvement in margins driven by various factors including increased electronic transactions and regulatory approvals. Overall, Haitong believes Paytm is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing digital payment landscape in India.
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If Haitong's projections hold true, Paytm's growth could lead to increased job opportunities within the fintech sector and enhanced services for consumers relying on digital payments.
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