India's Monsoon Forecast Predicts Below-Normal Rainfall Amid El Nino Concerns
Monsoon Likely To Remain 'Below Normal' This Year Amid El Nino Risk, Predicts IMD
News 18
Image: News 18
The India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts below-normal rainfall for the upcoming southwest monsoon season, raising concerns for farmers reliant on monsoon rains. The expected rainfall is about 92% of the long-period average, with potential impacts from the El Nino phenomenon anticipated to peak after July.
- 01India's southwest monsoon is expected to bring rainfall at about 92% of the long-period average.
- 02The forecast indicates below-normal rainfall, crucial for the agricultural sector.
- 03El Nino conditions are likely to emerge in July, potentially affecting rainfall patterns.
- 04The IMD will provide a more detailed forecast in May.
- 05Farmers are particularly concerned about the impact on Kharif crops.
Advertisement
In-Article Ad
The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has predicted that India will experience below-normal rainfall during the southwest monsoon season this year, with expectations of rainfall at about 92% of the long-period average (LPA). This forecast raises significant concerns for farmers, as monsoon rains are vital for the country's agricultural economy, providing over 75% of annual rainfall from June to September. The IMD's seasonal rainfall classification indicates that a range between 90-95% of LPA is considered below normal. M Ravichandran, Secretary of the Ministry of Earth Sciences, noted that while the initial months of June and July may not see significant impacts, the latter half of the season is concerning due to the anticipated peak of El Nino, which is associated with deficient rainfall and drought conditions. Currently, weak La Nina conditions are present, expected to transition to neutral before El Nino emerges in July. The IMD plans to issue a more detailed forecast in May, including the onset date of the monsoon.
Advertisement
In-Article Ad
The below-normal rainfall could adversely affect agricultural productivity, particularly for Kharif crops, which rely heavily on monsoon rains.
Advertisement
In-Article Ad
Reader Poll
How concerned are you about the impact of below-normal monsoon rainfall on agriculture?
Connecting to poll...
More about India Meteorological Department
Read the original article
Visit the source for the complete story.


