The ongoing peace talks between the United States and Iran, facilitated by Pakistan, are increasingly viewed with skepticism. Intelligence and academic insights reveal a significant disconnect between Tehran's official stance and the realities dictated by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC). Professor Seyed Mohammad Marandi emphasized that there is currently 'no agreement' on critical issues such as the nuclear file, and Iran is unlikely to abandon its allies, including Hezbollah and Hamas, which complicates any potential deal. Furthermore, there are suspicions that the Pakistani military may be misleading the international community by presenting a façade of diplomatic progress without genuine consensus from Iranian leadership. The IRGC, which operates independently of diplomatic channels, controls Iran's military actions and does not recognize the authority of civilian negotiators. This duality creates a significant barrier to any meaningful agreement, as the IRGC perceives diplomatic concessions as threats to its power. The recent attacks on Indian tankers in the Strait of Hormuz further illustrate the IRGC's hardline stance, indicating that they are transforming diplomatic efforts into operational strategies to maintain their influence in the region.