Indian Rupee Hits Record Low Amid Rising Global Bond Yields and Oil Prices
Rupee hits a new low, opens 33 paise lower at 96.86 against dollar

Image: Moneycontrol
On May 20, the Indian rupee opened at a record low of 96.86 against the US dollar, falling 33 paise from the previous session. This decline is attributed to rising global bond yields and high Brent crude prices, making the rupee the worst-performing emerging Asian currency this year.
- 01The rupee has fallen more than 7% since the start of 2023, making it the worst-performing emerging Asian currency.
- 02Brent crude prices remain elevated at around $111 per barrel, contributing to the rupee's decline.
- 03The US 10-year treasury yield has surpassed 4.5%, indicating expectations of persistent inflation and potential Federal Reserve rate hikes.
- 04The rupee has dropped 5.7% since the onset of the Iran war, further straining its value.
- 05Amit Pabari from CR Forex Advisors suggested that the Rs 97 level may provide temporary resistance for the rupee.
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The Indian rupee opened at a record low of 96.86 against the US dollar on May 20, marking a 33 paise decline from the previous session's close of 96.53. This drop is part of a troubling trend, with the rupee having fallen more than 7% since the beginning of the year, making it the worst-performing emerging Asian currency. The decline is largely driven by a surge in global bond yields and persistently high Brent crude oil prices, which are currently around $111 per barrel. The rupee's performance has been further impacted by geopolitical tensions, particularly the ongoing conflict in Iran, which has contributed to a 5.7% decline since the war began. Analysts note that the recent increase in US treasury yields, with the 10-year yield surpassing 4.5%, reflects concerns over inflation and potential Federal Reserve interest rate hikes. As a result, the rupee faces significant pressure from both external market forces and domestic demand for dollars, complicating its outlook amid these challenging conditions.
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The falling rupee could lead to increased costs for imports, particularly oil, which may subsequently raise inflation and affect everyday expenses for consumers.
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