Avenue Supermarts Shares Drop Amid Analyst Concerns Over Valuation and Growth
Avenue Supermarts slips 4% as analysts flag QC threat, expensive valuation
Business StandardImage: Business Standard
Avenue Supermarts, the operator of DMart, saw its shares decline by 4.2% to an intra-day low of ₹4,395 amid analyst concerns about its expensive valuation and growth sustainability. Despite a 19% year-on-year profit increase to ₹656.59 crore, brokerages express caution regarding future performance.
- 01Avenue Supermarts shares fell 4.2% amid valuation concerns.
- 02The company reported a 19% increase in Q4FY26 net profit to ₹656.59 crore.
- 03Analysts predict a 19% revenue growth for FY27, but caution about profitability.
- 04Brokerages have mixed views, with one maintaining a 'Sell' rating and another raising its target price.
- 05Concerns include increased competition from quick commerce and high operational costs.
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Avenue Supermarts, which operates DMart, experienced a 4.2% drop in its share price, reaching an intra-day low of ₹4,395 on the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE). This decline comes despite the company reporting a 19% year-on-year increase in net profit for Q4FY26, amounting to ₹656.59 crore, and a revenue rise to ₹17,683.86 crore. Analysts from Emkay Global Financial Services have maintained a 'Sell' rating, citing concerns over the company's expensive valuation at 80x forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio and a slow expansion of its total addressable market. They noted that while the quarter's performance was solid, the uplift in like-for-like sales was influenced by a spike in consumer buying amid geopolitical tensions, which has since normalized. Conversely, Motilal Oswal Financial Services raised its target price to ₹5,200, emphasizing the importance of sustained store openings as a growth driver. They project a 19% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for consolidated revenue, EBITDA, and profit after tax (PAT) over the next two years. Overall, while Avenue Supermarts shows strong revenue growth, analysts remain cautious about its ability to maintain profitability amid rising competition and operational challenges.
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The decline in share price may affect investor confidence and could lead to increased scrutiny on Avenue Supermarts' operational strategies, potentially impacting its growth trajectory.
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