Valuation Expert Aswath Damodaran Declines to Invest in SpaceX's Upcoming IPO
Why One Of Wall Street's Most Respected Valuation Experts Is Passing On Elon Musk's SpaceX

Image: Benzinga
Aswath Damodaran, a prominent valuation expert, has decided against investing in SpaceX's IPO due to concerns about its inflated valuation and governance structure. He estimates SpaceX's value at $1.25-$1.35 trillion, significantly lower than the proposed $1.8 trillion valuation. Damodaran also questions the company's ambitious market estimates.
- 01Aswath Damodaran believes SpaceX's total addressable market (TAM) is overstated at $28.5 trillion, suggesting a more realistic figure of $3 trillion to $4 trillion.
- 02He considers SpaceX's valuation of $1.8 trillion to be overpriced compared to his assessment.
- 03Damodaran appreciates SpaceX's innovative approach but is concerned about potential overreach in artificial intelligence.
- 04He warns that the company's governance lacks necessary safeguards, which could pose risks.
- 05The S&P 500 will not expedite SpaceX's entry into the index, maintaining its existing rules for newly public companies.
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Aswath Damodaran, a respected professor at NYU Stern and valuation expert, has publicly stated that he will not invest in SpaceX's upcoming IPO. In a social media thread, he expressed concerns about the company's inflated valuation of $1.8 trillion, which he believes is excessive compared to his estimated valuation of $1.25-$1.35 trillion. Damodaran criticized SpaceX's total addressable market (TAM) claims, particularly the $26 trillion attributed to artificial intelligence, arguing that a more realistic TAM would be between $3 trillion and $4 trillion. He acknowledged the potential of SpaceX's satellite internet service, Starlink, but warned about the risks associated with the company's governance structure, which he feels lacks necessary safeguards. Additionally, the S&P 500 index announced it would not shorten the seasoning period for new public companies, impacting SpaceX's potential entry into the index. Damodaran emphasized that while he admires SpaceX's vision, he is wary of its ambitious plans.
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