Cement Companies Forecast Slower Growth Amid Rising Costs and Demand Concerns
Cement companies expect costs, muted demand to dent growth
The Economic TimesImage: The Economic Times
Cement producers in India are adjusting their growth projections downward, expecting a demand increase of just 5-7% this fiscal year, down from 8-9% previously. Rising costs due to geopolitical tensions and supply chain issues are anticipated to significantly impact operating profits.
- 01Cement demand growth is expected to slow to 5-7% this fiscal year.
- 02Operating profits may be hit by ₹150 per tonne due to rising costs.
- 03Cement prices have increased by ₹20 per 50 kg bag in April and ₹10-15 in May.
- 04Adani Cement has delayed its production capacity target to FY30.
- 05Geopolitical tensions in West Asia are contributing to cost pressures.
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Cement companies in India are revising their growth expectations downward, anticipating a demand increase of only 5-7% this fiscal year, compared to 8-9% in the previous year. Neeraj Akhoury, managing director of Shree Cement, cited the geopolitical conflict in the Middle East and expected moderate monsoon conditions as potential headwinds that could affect growth. The five largest cement producers—UltraTech Cement, Adani Cement, Shree Cement, Dalmia Bharat, and Nuvoco Vistas Corp—project an impact of about ₹150 per tonne on operating profit due to rising costs of fuel, packaging, and logistics, exacerbated by a weaker rupee against the dollar. Despite raising prices by approximately ₹20 per 50 kg bag in April and an additional ₹10-15 in May, companies are struggling to keep pace with cost inflation, which is estimated at close to ₹200 per tonne. Adani Cement has also postponed its target for achieving 155 million tonnes of production capacity to FY30, reflecting the need to recalibrate costs amid these challenges.
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The rising costs of cement could lead to higher construction expenses, affecting homebuyers and the real estate market.
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