Iran Conflict Could Lower India's GDP Growth to 6.5%, Warns CII President Rajiv Memani
Iran war could drag India's GDP growth to 6.5% this fiscal, says CII president Rajiv Memani
The Economic TimesImage: The Economic Times
Rajiv Memani, president of the Confederation of Indian Industry (CII), stated that India's GDP growth could drop to 6.5% this fiscal year if the Iran war continues, impacting global supply chains. However, growth could rebound to 7% if the conflict resolves soon, with a strong emphasis on boosting private investments and manufacturing.
- 01India's GDP growth could fall to 6.5% if the Iran war persists.
- 02Memani advocates for increased private investments and production-linked incentive schemes.
- 03Capital spending by listed non-financial companies grew 25% in FY25.
- 04Strong consumption demand is currently supporting economic momentum.
- 05The adoption of AI is crucial for Indian companies to remain competitive.
Advertisement
In-Article Ad
Rajiv Memani, the president of the Confederation of Indian Industry (CII), indicated that India's economic growth could be adversely affected by the ongoing Iran war, potentially dropping to 6.5% if the conflict continues. He emphasized that if the war ends soon, growth could rebound to approximately 7%. Memani noted that external factors, including the pandemic and the Ukraine war, have already strained the economy, prompting companies to create buffers against future shocks. He highlighted a 25% increase in capital spending by listed non-financial companies in FY25, amounting to ₹11 lakh crore (roughly $1.3 billion USD), and expressed optimism for a resurgence in private investments once the geopolitical tensions ease. Additionally, he called for more production-linked incentive schemes to reduce import reliance and bolster manufacturing. Despite rising input costs, consumption demand remains strong, providing a cushion against external challenges. Memani also stressed the importance of adopting artificial intelligence for maintaining global competitiveness.
Advertisement
In-Article Ad
The potential slowdown in GDP growth could affect job creation and investment opportunities in India, impacting various sectors reliant on economic stability.
Advertisement
In-Article Ad
Reader Poll
How do you think the Iran conflict will affect India's economic growth?
Connecting to poll...
More about Confederation of Indian Industry

India and Tanzania Strengthen Economic Ties as Trade Surpasses $9 Billion
Mint • May 1, 2026
Mumbai-Pune Expressway 'Missing Link' Project Inaugurated by Maharashtra CM
The Economic Times • May 1, 2026
Mumbai-Pune Expressway's Missing Link to Open in 2026, Reducing Travel Time
The Economic Times • May 1, 2026
Read the original article
Visit the source for the complete story.

