Bitcoin's Decline Attributed to Inflation, Not Corporate Strategy, Says 10xResearch
Blame bitcoin's tumble on rising inflation, not Strategy, 10xResearch argues

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According to 10x Research's Markus Thielen, bitcoin's recent decline below $60,000 is primarily due to institutional selling linked to rising inflation, rather than corporate actions. The upcoming May CPI report could further influence bitcoin's recovery prospects.
- 01Bitcoin ETFs experienced $5.4 billion in net redemptions following the April U.S. CPI report, which indicated higher-than-expected inflation.
- 0210x Research's model predicts May inflation could rise to 4.3%, potentially impacting Federal Reserve interest rate decisions.
- 03Despite a recent plunge, bitcoin may see a temporary relief rally, but this could fade if inflation data exceeds expectations.
- 04Stablecoins have seen significant outflows, indicating capital is leaving the crypto market.
- 05Thielen emphasizes that institutional ETF flows are crucial for predicting bitcoin's price movements.
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Markus Thielen, founder of 10x Research, asserts that the recent decline in bitcoin's price below $60,000 is primarily driven by institutional selling through spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) due to rising inflation, rather than corporate strategies like those of Strategy, which has been mischaracterized as a key factor. Following the April U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) report released on May 12, U.S.-listed bitcoin ETFs faced $5.4 billion in net redemptions. Thielen predicts that the upcoming May CPI report, expected to show inflation rising to 4.3%, could further influence bitcoin's market dynamics. If inflation exceeds 4%, it may prompt the Federal Reserve to maintain higher interest rates, adversely affecting risk assets like bitcoin. While the market may experience a short-term bounce, Thielen cautions that this could be fleeting if inflation data surprises negatively. Additionally, the broader crypto market is showing signs of weakness, with stablecoins seeing net outflows of $1.7 billion last week and bitcoin futures open interest declining. Thielen emphasizes the importance of monitoring ETF flows to gauge bitcoin's future price movements.
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The potential rise in inflation could lead to sustained higher interest rates, affecting investment decisions in the crypto market.
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