Analysts Predict Further Fuel Price Hikes Amid Market Volatility
First of a few more fuel price hikes; markets to remain range-bound: Analysts
Business Standard
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Analysts warn that the recent ₹3 per litre increase in petrol and diesel prices in India could be the first of several hikes due to ongoing global tensions. They expect the markets to remain range-bound, with state-owned oil companies facing significant financial pressure if crude prices remain high.
- 01Petrol and diesel prices increased by ₹3 per litre, with more hikes likely due to global tensions.
- 02Analysts predict a range-bound market with a slight upward bias in the coming weeks.
- 03State-owned oil companies are under financial strain due to rising crude oil prices.
- 04The Nifty Oil & Gas index has underperformed compared to the broader market since February.
- 05Technical analysis suggests immediate support for the Nifty around 23,500-23,400 levels.
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The recent increase of ₹3 per litre in petrol and diesel prices by Indian oil marketing companies (OMCs) is anticipated to be the first of several hikes, as analysts suggest that ongoing geopolitical tensions could lead to further adjustments. Jyotivardhan Jaipuria, founder of Valentis Advisors, indicated that while the hike was expected, its magnitude was less than anticipated. He noted that if the conflict in West Asia persists, OMCs may need to implement additional hikes. Analysts from Elara Capital highlighted that state-owned firms like Hindustan Petroleum Corporation (HPCL) and Bharat Petroleum Corporation (BPCL) are particularly vulnerable, with potential earnings drops of 90-190% if crude prices remain elevated without corresponding retail price increases. The Nifty Oil & Gas index has fallen 6.7% since the conflict began, underperforming the broader Nifty 50 index, which declined by 5.9%. Technical indicators suggest that the Nifty index faces resistance near 23,800, with support around 23,500-23,400 levels, indicating potential volatility ahead.
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The fuel price hikes could lead to increased transportation costs for consumers, affecting prices of goods and services.
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