Fitch Maintains Belgium's A+ Rating Amid Economic Challenges
Fitch confirme la note A+ de la Belgique grâce à son appartenance à la zone euro

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Fitch Ratings has reaffirmed Belgium's long-term issuer default rating at A+ with a stable outlook, citing the country's diversified economy and high per capita income. However, rising public debt and a budget deficit projected at 5.2% of GDP in 2025 present significant challenges for fiscal consolidation.
- 01Belgium's budget deficit is projected to reach 5.2% of GDP in 2025, the highest in the Eurozone.
- 02Fitch anticipates that Belgium's debt-to-GDP ratio will exceed 115% by 2030 without additional budget reforms.
- 03The real GDP growth rate is expected to slow to 0.8% in 2026, impacted by rising energy prices due to geopolitical tensions.
- 04Belgium's inflation rate reached 4.3% in April, driven by significant energy price increases.
- 05The Belgian government is progressing on structural reforms in labor markets and pensions, but effects are expected to materialize only in the medium to long term.
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Fitch Ratings has confirmed Belgium's long-term issuer default rating at A+ with a stable outlook, highlighting the country's diversified and prosperous economy, high per capita income, and membership in the Eurozone. However, the agency noted challenges posed by a significantly high and rising public debt, which reached a debt-to-GDP ratio of 107.9% in 2025 and is projected to exceed 115% by 2030 without further budgetary reforms. The budget deficit is expected to widen to 5.2% of GDP in 2025, the largest in the Eurozone, primarily due to declining corporate tax revenues and increased defense and social spending. Fitch forecasts that Belgium's real GDP growth will slow to 0.8% in 2026, influenced by rising energy prices stemming from the ongoing conflict in Iran. The inflation rate stood at 4.3% in April, largely due to energy costs. The Belgian government is also exploring the repurchase of its nuclear power plants from the French utility company Engie while continuing structural reforms in labor and pensions, though the economic impacts of these reforms are expected to materialize only in the longer term.
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The reaffirmation of Belgium's credit rating may influence investor confidence and borrowing costs for the government, impacting public spending and economic growth.
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