As the counting of votes continues in the Tamil Nadu elections, Vijay's Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) is leading in over 100 seats in the 234-member assembly. Despite this significant lead, forming a government remains a challenge, necessitating coalition support. The AIADMK-led bloc is currently leading in 75 seats, while the DMK-led alliance trails with 47 seats. Three scenarios for Vijay's potential government include:

1. Rainbow Coalition: If TVK secures between 105 and 112 seats, Vijay may seek alliances with smaller parties like Congress, PMK, CPI, and VCK. This could maintain his leadership but risks a fragmented cabinet due to smaller parties' demands for influence.

2. Stable Giant: A partnership with the AIADMK could yield a strong majority of over 180 seats. However, Vijay would likely demand that the AIADMK sever ties with the BJP to align with his secular campaign, which could alienate some voters.

3. INDI Pivot: Although Vijay has positioned the DMK as his main political rival, a coalition with Congress could create a secular front. This scenario is deemed unlikely, as it would contradict his anti-DMK narrative and could be seen as a betrayal by his supporters.

In summary, while Vijay's rise marks a significant shift in Tamil Nadu politics, the path to forming a stable government is fraught with complexities.