Valuation Expert Aswath Damodaran Skeptical of SpaceX's IPO Pricing
'Dean of Valuation' Aswath Damodaran is not buying SpaceX: 'Too richly priced'

Image: Cnbc
Aswath Damodaran, a finance professor at New York University, believes SpaceX's IPO price of $135, valuing the company at $1.77 trillion, is excessive. He estimates its true value to be between $1.25 trillion and $1.35 trillion, citing concerns over its AI business and overall market dynamics.
- 01Damodaran values SpaceX between $1.25 trillion and $1.35 trillion, significantly lower than the IPO target of $1.77 trillion.
- 02He highlights SpaceX's three main business segments: space launches, Starlink connectivity, and artificial intelligence (xAI), with AI being the most uncertain.
- 03The AI segment has the weakest unit economics and faces fierce competition, impacting profitability.
- 04Damodaran notes that investing in SpaceX is a significant bet on both AI and Elon Musk's leadership.
- 05He points out that market perceptions can change, referencing past IPOs like Facebook and Uber.
Advertisement
In-Article Ad
Aswath Damodaran, a finance professor at New York University, has expressed skepticism about SpaceX's upcoming initial public offering (IPO), which aims for a price of $135 per share, translating to a valuation of $1.77 trillion. In his analysis, he estimates the company's value to be between $1.25 trillion and $1.35 trillion, suggesting that the IPO price is too high. Damodaran's assessment is based on a detailed review of SpaceX's business model, which includes three key segments: space launches, Starlink connectivity, and artificial intelligence (xAI). He notes that while the space and connectivity segments show strong unit economics, the AI business presents the greatest uncertainty due to its low margins and high competition. He cautions potential investors that buying into SpaceX at this valuation is essentially a bet on the future of AI and Elon Musk's ability to navigate challenges. Damodaran acknowledges that market dynamics can shift, referencing historical examples of companies like Facebook and Uber, which experienced significant valuation changes post-IPO. SpaceX is set to debut on the Nasdaq on June 12.
Advertisement
In-Article Ad
Advertisement
In-Article Ad
Reader Poll
What do you think about SpaceX's IPO valuation?
Connecting to poll...
More about SpaceX
Read the original article
Visit the source for the complete story.







