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Texas Senate Race: John Cornyn Faces Challenge from Ken Paxton Backed by Trump
John Cornyn vs. Trump-Backed Ken Paxton: Final Polls and Odds
Image: Newsweek
Texas voters will choose between incumbent Senator John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton in a Republican runoff on Tuesday. Trump's endorsement of Paxton has shifted polling dynamics, showing him leading Cornyn. The winner will face Democratic State Senator James Talarico in the November election.
- 01Recent polls indicate Ken Paxton leading John Cornyn by low single digits, with an average margin of about 7.8 points.
- 02Prediction markets show Paxton with a 95% chance of winning the runoff, significantly boosted by Trump's endorsement.
- 03Trump criticized Cornyn for disloyalty, emphasizing Paxton's loyalty and fighting spirit in his endorsement.
- 04Democrat James Talarico is positioned as a strong challenger, with a fundraising advantage and broad support.
- 05Political betting markets suggest a competitive general election, with Republicans having a narrow 55% chance to retain the Texas Senate seat.
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Texas is set for a Republican runoff on Tuesday, where incumbent Senator John Cornyn faces a strong challenge from Attorney General Ken Paxton, who has received President Donald Trump's endorsement. Recent polling shows Paxton consistently ahead, with margins ranging from 3 to 12 points, indicating a shift in Republican support. Trump's backing has significantly influenced prediction markets, giving Paxton a 95% chance of winning the nomination. Trump criticized Cornyn's loyalty in a recent statement, reinforcing Paxton's appeal to the MAGA base. The winner will face Democratic State Senator James Talarico in the November general election, who has gained traction with a progressive platform and substantial fundraising. Talarico's campaign highlights the need for change in Texas politics, positioning himself against the influence of wealthy donors. Political betting markets reflect a competitive race, with Republicans holding a slight edge to retain the Senate seat, but Talarico's momentum poses a serious threat.
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The outcome of this runoff could influence the Republican Party's strategy and unity heading into the general election, affecting local political dynamics in Texas.
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