Potential Fuel Price Hikes Loom as Crude Oil Exceeds $100 Per Barrel
Petrol, diesel prices may rise ₹20 per litre in 3–6 months if crude stays above $100, says Emkay; lists stocks at risk
Mint
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Crude oil prices have surged, raising concerns about potential retail fuel price hikes in India. Analysts at Emkay Global Financial Services predict an increase of ₹18–20 per litre in petrol and diesel prices over the next three to six months if crude remains above $100. This could lead to inflationary pressures and impact various sectors.
- 01Brent crude oil prices have increased to $108.10 per barrel, prompting concerns over fuel price hikes.
- 02Emkay Global estimates retail fuel prices could rise by ₹18–20 per litre within six months if crude prices stay elevated.
- 03A proposed initial hike of ₹10 per litre may not fully cover oil marketing companies' losses.
- 04Higher fuel prices could trigger inflationary pressures, estimated at 75 basis points.
- 05Several sectors, including automobiles and logistics, may face significant challenges due to increased fuel costs.
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Crude oil prices have risen sharply, with Brent crude reaching $108.10 per barrel and US West Texas Intermediate at $96.70. Analysts from Emkay Global Financial Services warn that if crude prices remain above $100 per barrel, retail fuel prices in India could increase by ₹18–20 per litre over the next three to six months. They anticipate an initial hike of ₹10 per litre, which may only partially alleviate the losses faced by oil marketing companies (OMCs). This situation poses risks of inflation, with an estimated impact of 75 basis points on the economy. The report indicates that higher fuel prices could negatively affect sectors such as automobiles, logistics, and metals, while electric vehicle companies might benefit. Emkay emphasizes that the energy shock is expected to be temporary, and the government may implement policy measures to mitigate consumer impact.
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If fuel prices rise, consumers will face higher transportation costs, which could affect the prices of goods and services across various sectors.
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